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JPY Strength Uncertain, Heavy News Week may Help
The Yen failed to topple the Dollar yesterday, despite a bearish Dollar in the last few weeks. The pair actually closed up 10 pips at 94.73. The release of the worse-than-forecasted CSPI figures in late trading helped prevent the JPY from gaining bullish momentum against its major currency pairs.
There was very little movement in the EUR/JPY pair as it closed at 132.36. However, the Yen lost a bit of ground against the British currency to finish trading at 150.45. These small forex market currency fluctuations were largely owed to the British and American bank holidays yesterday. Nevertheless, markets are set to be much more volatile today, as forex market volatility returns to more normal conditions in the coming hours.
The short-term future of the JPY depends on the speed of the global economic recovery. If things do improve quicker than many analysts anticipate then the Yen may start to go bearish. This is increasingly the case if the U.S. raises Interest Rates before all of the other industrialized countries. Today, in late trading the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and Trade Balance figures at 23:50 GMT are likely to help determine the JPY's strength going into mid-week trading. A 95.50 USD/JPY rate may be a possible by tomorrow's close. However, it is wise to open positions in the JPY now as news from the Euro-Zone and U.S. is published.
| # | Time | $€£¥ | Event | Per. | Prev. | Fore. | Act. | Imp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/26 | ||||||||
| 00:50 | JPY | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | * | * | * | ![]() | ||
| 00:50 | JPY | Trade Balance | -0.51B | -0.03T | -0.52T | ![]() | ||

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