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JPY Daily News

USD/JPY Moving Towards 4-year Trend Line

Friday, 16 Dec 2011

Yesterday's manufacturing survey from Japan was not inspiring though the Chinese PMI was more encouraging. The Japanese Tankan survey came in weaker than expected at -4 on expectations of -2. The Chinese flash HSBC PMI climbed to 49 in the month of December from 47.7 in November. The survey was below the 50 boom/bust level for the 2nd month in a row but the improvement is encouraging.

Despite the negative Japanese data the USD/JPY appears to be taking its cues primarily from the movements of the USD. Yesterdays' strong US Empire State Manufacturing Index and lower than expected weekly unemployment claims provided a pause in the bearish market sentiment and allowed for the USD to come off of its highs across the board.

Should the near-term trend of USD strength continue the USD/JPY could test the June 2007 trend line which comes in at 78.50. A break here will expose the post-intervention high of 79.50. To the downside the December 8th low of 77.15 may be supportive.

Current Time: 05/26 23:53 GMT
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